PredictWise again ignores the yuge crowds at Trump rallies and continues to express 80% confidence that Hillary's gonna beat the tar out of him in November. To a pulp. Like a rented mule. Like a drum. Like swords into plowshares.
And in the phony standings, Jill Stein continues to impress:
|Query String||Hit Count||Change Since
|"Jill Stein" phony||1,160,000||+140,000|
|"Donald Trump" phony||814,000||-82,000|
|"Hillary Clinton" phony||769,000||+13,000|
|"Gary Johnson" phony||89,600||+45,500|
The Democrats-with-bylines media continues to trash Jill Stein, of
course. Example this week is the ultra-dependable Dana Milbank
of the WaPo, who detects
Jill Stein, disturbing echoes of Ralph Nader" The allusion being to
Nader's role in the 2000 election; dejected liberals credit him with
swinging the election to Dubya over Gore.
In ordinary times, a voice such as Stein’s contributes to the national debate. But these are not ordinary times. Trump’s narrow path to the presidency requires Stein to do well in November, and polls indicate Trump does better with her in the race. But, 16 years after Ralph Nader helped swing the presidency to George W. Bush from Al Gore, liberals (including Bernie Sanders supporters) who otherwise agree with Stein are more inclined to recognize that she makes more likely the singular threat of a President Trump.
Or: "You're cute, honey, but I've got my money on the other babe."
At Reason, Anthony L. Fisher debunks the Nader-beat-Gore mythologizing, and notes the reason why Hillary sycophants like Milbank push it nonetheless.
More to my liking is Kevin D. Williamson, who's in nobody's pocket.
His contribution this week is pointing out
Unlikely Story". But what really caught my attention was the
This isn’t a campaign — it’s psychotherapy.
Normally, I'd scoff. But (remember) just last week we linked to an article that was headlined "No, Jill Stein Supporters, You Are Not Crazy". Apparently that's a thing now: either (a) figuring out just what type of mental dysfunction is going on with candidates and their supporters, or (b) reassuring assertions that you're not crazy; it's those other guys.
Kevin's in the former category:
We should consider the possibility that Donald Trump is not really running a presidential campaign at all — that this is not politics, but psychotherapy. Trump has always been a figure of fun among those whose respect he most craves — the New York business community and the editors of the New York Times – and he obviously desires to be something more than a reality-television grotesque: a figure of significance. His presidential campaign is his bid for self-actualization, and it has taken along a great many gullible and credulous people — and a major political party — for the ride.
That sounds unfortunately plausible.
Also firmly in National Review plague-on-both-houses camp is
Jim I. Geraghty:
Post-Reality Election". Many examples of candidates "insisting that
the obvious truth wasn’t true". Here's one:
Hillary Clinton [sought] to assure CNN’s Anderson Cooper that the complicated and shady financial dealings of her family foundation were on the up and up. “I know there’s a lot of smoke, and there’s no fire,” she said. This was perverse to say the least: The adage is, “Where there’s smoke, there’s fire,” and that’s what common sense and experience tells us. But in Clinton’s telling, smoke should not be taken as evidence of fire. It’s like she’s citing an ancient proverb from her own personal alternate reality.
One could only wish that Anderson Cooper were quick enough to follow up on the metaphor: "Wait a minute. If there's no fire, where the bleep is all the smoke coming from?"
I should point out the Facebook group
Against Gary Johnson & Bill Weld". Its raison d'être:
Gary Johnson & Bill Weld are fakes. They are big government, big spending moderates and have the record to prove it. They are as libertarian as Hillary!
It's Facebook, so there's a lot of crap. I came away saying… "Yeah, maybe, but still better than Trump or Hillary."
And in the Twitter:
A number of these signs were posted in LA to coincide with a Hillary's fundraiser (minimum admittance $33K) hosted by Justin Timberlake and that nice Jessica Biel. (The underlined "ill" in "Hillary" indicating that the perps were probably not Hillary supporters.)