If You Have to Ask…

(you know how that line finishes, right?)

Apparently, President Trump has (variously) called the term "affordability" a "hoax", a "con job", and a "scam’". Perpetrated by the Democrats and their allies in the media!

It seems I've been quoting my favorite Chico Marx line quite a bit these days. Here I go again: "Well, who you gonna believe? Me or your own eyes?"

A more trustworthy source, Kevin D. Williamson, provides A Closer Look at ‘Affordability’. (archive.today link)

If you want to know why Donald Trump and his three-legged psychedelic pinball machine of an administration are on the wrong side of Americans when it comes to economic performance, consider this interesting fact: Grocery inflation is more than twice as bad right now as it was in the closing days of Joe Biden’s presidency, when Americans turned on the incumbent president and his party before spurning his chosen successor while complaining—not without cause—that Democratic policies were making their grocery bills worse. Now it is Republican policies that are making grocery bills worse, in no small part because they are, at a fundamental economic level, nearly indistinguishable from the Democratic policies that had Americans so riled up in 2024.

Annualized inflation in what the Bureau of Labor Statistics calls “food at home” (meaning groceries, a word our senescent president seems to believe he introduced into the political conversation) was at 2.7 percent in September of 2025, the most recent month for which there is public data—by comparison, the average annualized monthly measure of grocery inflation in 2024 was only 1.2 percent throughout 2024. (Because inflation is a compounding phenomenon, total grocery inflation in 2024 was 1.8 percent even though the average monthly increase was only 1.2 percent. If grocery inflation is found to have continued at its most recent rate through year-end, then total 2025 grocery inflation would amount to about 4.2 percent, keeping us well within more-than-twice-as-bad territory.) Total food inflation—meaning groceries plus food consumed outside the home—is even worse, running at 3.1 percent in the most recent survey, a little ahead of overall inflation.

This is a difficult thing to avoid noticing. I am sure that I am not the only one who has noted that my regular trips to Kroger (four hungry boys at home!) have jumped from around $140 per visit to around $200 per visit. My own household consumption puts us at a particularly unhappy point on the grocery-inflation distribution, inasmuch as we buy a considerable quantity of meat, milk, eggs, and the like—food items that have seen much more severe inflation than the overall model grocery cart.

As always, I encourage you to subscribe to the Dispatch. I'm a $100/year subscriber, but if you're unconcerned with "affordability", there's a $300/year "premium access" option.

Also of note:

  • Sorry, Elvis, some days it's impossible to be amused. So I have to admit I'm disgusted. As TechDirt's Mike Masnick (and many others) report: Trump Suggests Rob Reiner Had It Coming For Criticizing Him. Trump's Truth Social post in it's entirety:

    A very sad thing happened last night in Hollywood. Rob Reiner, a tortured and struggling, but once very talented movie director and comedy star, has passed away, together with his wife, Michele, reportedly due to the anger he caused others through his massive, unyielding, and incurable affliction with a mind crippling disease known as TRUMP DERANGEMENT SYNDROME, sometimes referred to as TDS. He was known to have driven people CRAZY by his raging obsession of President Donald J. Trump, with his obvious paranoia reaching new heights as the Trump Administration surpassed all goals and expectations of greatness, and with the Golden Age

    Mike comments:

    Read that again. The President of the United States is claiming—with zero evidence—that Reiner’s murder happened “due to the anger he caused others” through his criticism of Trump. He’s framing political speech against Trump as something that drives people “crazy” and justifies violence.

    This is the same administration that spent months after Charlie Kirk’s death insisting that even quoting Kirk’s own hateful rhetoric was unacceptable and deserving of cancellation. Pam Bondi threatened to prosecute those who criticized Kirk, claiming it incited violence. There was a flood of think pieces demanding we “turn down the rhetoric” even as MAGA immediately ramped up “the war on the left” in Kirk’s name.

    The President is a loose-cannon, narcissistic asshole.

  • "Which is why Rand Paul's bill does not stand a chance." That's what flitted into my mind after reading J.D. Tuccille's headline: Obamacare subsidies can’t fix a broken system. Rand Paul’s bill could.

    Last week, the U.S. Senate rejected two health care bills intended to resolve the impasse over COVID-19–era Affordable Care Act (ACA), a.k.a. Obamacare, subsidies and, to one extent or another, concerns over the cost of medical coverage. Both were blocked by the near impossibility of advancing anything in that body without 60 votes in support. The Democrat-sponsored legislation would have kicked the can down the road on Obamacare plans' inherent flaws by extending "temporary" subsidies for another three years. The Republican bill was a more serious effort that would bring some reform to the system by expanding Americans' access to Health Savings Accounts (HSAs). But neither is going anywhere right now.

    Maybe that's for the best. Sen. Rand Paul (R–Ky.) proposes better legislation that expands Americans' access to HSAs and to group health plans offered by all sorts of organizations across state lines.

    I could be too pessimistic, though. See what you think.

Impeachment Attempt Number …

Sorry, I've Lost Count

I almost missed the latest drama! Democrat CongressCritter Al Green (TX-18) got a vote on his articles of impeachment against Donald Trump!

Fun fact: Al is only slightly younger than Trump, 78 years young. This is not the his first rodeo, impeachment-wise. It seems to be his periodic legislative hobby. A Newsweek article from back in May detailed a different attempt.

[Green] cited the clash between the administration and U.S. District Judge James Boasberg, who last month said he found "probable cause" to hold the administration in contempt of court, as just one such example of the administration flouting judicial authority, and told Newsweek that now is the time to act before the president's use of power grows too flagrant.

"You don't wait until tanks are rolling down the streets of American cities," Green said during an interview. "It's too late then. You don't wait until you have what everybody will recognize as a constitutional crisis, because that can be the forerunner to tanks moving down the streets of American cities.

"So, we have this unique opportunity to use impeachment as a deterrent to stop him and prevent what could become more than we have seen in this country in terms of power emanating from a presidency that is out of control," Green said.

His more recent effort had two articles therein: (1) Trump's "Calling for the Execution of Members of Congress; (2) Trump's attempt to "Intimidate Federal Judges in Violation of the Separation of Powers and Independence of the Judiciary". The second one seems kind of weak to me, but …

CongressCritter Al, by the way, identified himself at the top of his article submission:

Al Green,
Member of Congress

Scion of the Enslaved Africans –
Sacrificed to Make America Great

Progenitor of August and August 20th as
Slavery Remembrance Month and Day

OK, then.

Al watched his articles get tabled last Thursday. Axios reports: Infuriated Democrats help GOP quash another Trump impeachment vote.

Nearly two dozen House Democrats voted with Republicans on Thursday to block one of their own members from forcing a vote to impeach President Trump.

You can see how your CongressCritter voted here. Among the 23 Democrats voting with all Republicans to kill the effort was Maggie Goodlander (NH-02). My own Chris Pappas (NH-01) went with the 47 members voting "Present". Not exactly a profile in courage there, Chris.

Unbound by the Constitution

Recent analysis from Erica York and Alex Durante of the Tax Foundation: The Economic Impact of the Trump Trade War. With a graphic they invite me to embed:

And a few of their bullet points are, to be honest, kind of infuriating:

  • The Trump tariffs amount to an average tax increase per US household of $1,100 in 2025 and $1,400 in 2026.
  • The Trump tariffs are the largest US tax increase as a percent of GDP (0.47 percent for 2025) since 1993.
  • The US Supreme Court will soon decide whether the president’s emergency powers under IEEPA include the power to impose tariffs.
  • Historical evidence and recent studies show that tariffs are taxes that raise prices and reduce available quantities of goods and services for US businesses and consumers, resulting in lower income, reduced employment, and lower economic output.

A citation on that first point above soberly informs us: "A tax is a mandatory payment or charge collected by local, state, and national governments from individuals or businesses to cover the costs of general government services, goods, and activities." So: a huge tax increase, unpassed by Congress, the way taxes are supposed to work. Under, y'know, the Constitution.

This is an example of what I meant in yesterday's post, about Our Side no longer believing in the Constitutional order. And, unfortunately, not the only example.

[Amazon Link]
(paid link)

I'm currently reading The Parasitic Mind by Gad Saad. (Amazon link at your right.) And happened on this bit of advice:

Trump’s detractors should perhaps be spending more effort engaging their central route of persuasion by evaluating his policy positions in a dispassionate and detached manner.

Fine advice. Difficult for me to follow when I consider the damage he's doing to the Constitution. Sorry, Gad.


Last Modified 2025-12-15 9:00 PM EST

I Would Add One Word at the End

David Harsanyi's headline is The Left Doesn't Believe in the Constitutional Order. True dat!

During oral arguments in Trump v. Slaughter, Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor threatened America with a good time, warning that the administration is "asking us to destroy the structure of government."

Great. It's about time an unaccountable fourth branch of the state was decimated. Trump v. Slaughter revolves around the president's ability to fire executive branch officials without cause at "independent" agencies. For one thing, nowhere does the Constitution empower Congress to create "independent" anything. The notion is a concoction of our worst former president, Woodrow Wilson, and it was codified nearly a century ago in Humphrey's Executor v. United States, when the court ruled that the Federal Trade Commission was a quasilegislative, executive and judicial agency.

Exactly. Just one more bit of badness from Wilson. Progressives, if it's so important to have "independent" Federal agencies working their will on the citizenry, avoiding checks and balances: write and pass a constutional amendment, and try to get it ratified.

Oh, and the word I would add at the end of David's headline is: "either": making it "The Left Doesn't Believe in the Constitutional Order Either". It's not as if Our Side has been fastidious about that over the past eleven months.

Here's Looking at YouTube, Kid.

For what it's worth, I have no opinion, pro or con, on Netflix buying Warner. I just hope Trump stays out of it.

Also of note:

  • I have concerns. Wesley J. Smith is pretty certain that Robots Should Not Have 'Rights' (archive.today link)

    We live in an era when activists of various stripes argue that, well, everything should have rights. Animals, nature, plants, the moon, rivers, AI/robots, you name it.

    Now, in Newsweek, the transhumanism popularizer and California gubernatorial candidate Zoltan Istvan argues that we should give robots rights so they will show mercy on us. Seriously. From his article, “Why Giving Rights to Robots Might One Day Save Humans”:

    The discussion about giving rights to artificial intelligences and robots has evolved around whether they deserve or are entitled to them. Juxtapositions of this with women’s suffrage and racial injustices are often brought up in philosophy departments like the University of Oxford, where I’m a graduate student.

    This is the problem with all non-human-rights activists. They continually compare their favored supposed rights-bearers with human beings who were denied equality in the past. But those denials were wrong — and in some cases evil — because inherent equals were treated as if they were unequal.

    We live in a time where a lot of people don't think human beings should have the right to life if they have yet to be born. So my concerns will fall on a lot of deaf ears:

    • We have rights thanks to our living consciousness and free will.
    • Living consciousness and free will are (probably) emergent properties of a sufficiently complex nervous system.
    • There's no inherent reason that a "sufficiently complex nervous system" needs to be biology-based.
    • So …

    So I don't think Wesley's argument is a slam dunk. We're not there yet, but someday… maybe.

  • Here I am, stuck in the middle with… Josh & Bernie?! Veronique de Rugy takes a look at the latest horseshoe woe: Coming for Your Credit Card From Left and Right.

    Take legislation introduced earlier this year by what would have once been an unlikely duo: Sens. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.). Their "10 Percent Credit Card Interest Rate Cap Act" — also reflecting a Trump idea from the 2024 campaign — sounds compassionate. Who enjoys paying 25% interest?

    In practice, price controls of all sorts are disastrous. Credit card interest rates are high because unsecured consumer lending is very risky. They're the price for the lender taking a chance on a person. If the government artificially caps rates far below the market rate, banks will stop lending to riskier borrowers. That doesn't just mean broke shopaholics. It includes the working single parent using a financial last resort before payday.

    Just as rent controls can create a housing shortage by reducing the attractiveness of supplying those homes, interest-rate caps can create a credit shortage. They put millions of working-class Americans — the people proposals like these are supposed to protect — at risk of being "de-banked." Stripped of their credit cards, some will turn to payday lenders, loan sharks and pawn shops, whose charges are far higher.

    Vero is not saying anything that complicated or controversial. We live in a time when people flaunt their economic ignorance on purpose.

  • It doesn't help to have the nickname "the Stupid Party". Yuval Levin explains it, hopefully with small enough words so that Josh Hawley can understand: Why Republicans Lose Every Healthcare Debate.

    Of course, medical care is not like other commodities. It involves life-and-death situations that threaten the people we love, there are enormous knowledge gaps between providers and consumers, and the most urgent and important services are often very expensive. That’s why we want to purchase insurance in advance, rather than directly buying care. And it’s why it makes sense to subsidize coverage for people who can’t afford it. That could be done in line with the economic logic of healthcare by using subsidies to give everyone the resources to enter competitive insurance markets as consumers making choices.

    But this is where politics gums things up. The fact is, most of us don’t actually want a lot of choice when it comes to healthcare. We just want to believe that everything is paid for. That creates an incentive to hide costs by routing most payments through insurers or government, which sustains the illusion that everything is free to the consumer. This has yielded a healthcare system without real prices, and therefore without enough pressure to restrain spending. In turn, that’s led to ever-rising costs paid for by ever-rising subsidies.

    For decades, this has meant that health policy proposals that make economic sense do not make political sense, and vice versa.

    Yuval's bottom line: "You can't beat something with nothing." Which is what the GOP's got.

  • [Amazon Link]
    (paid link)

    Stark's other lesson was "Live Free or Die". But that's not what George Will is talking about when he explains A stark lesson about the president’s war powers. (WaPo gifted link)

    In “The President Who Would Not Be King: Executive Power Under the Constitution,” Michael W. McConnell, Stanford law professor and former federal judge, writes that Article I vests in Congress legislative powers “herein granted” and enumerated. Article II simply assumes the president shall exercise all powers executive in nature. Those powers were negligible in 1789, when the executive bureaucracy was smaller than Congress. Today, executive power is everywhere.

    The Constitutional Convention changed Congress’s power from “to make war” to “to declare war,” thereby expanding presidential war power. The Convention worried that if the power to “make” war belonged to Congress (which often was out of session), the president could not repel sudden attacks. Also, the power to declare war was already almost a nullity: Most wars then (and since) were declared by beginning them — waging war before, or rather than, declaring war. In Federalist 25, Alexander Hamilton noted that “the ceremony” of formally declaring war “has of late fallen into disuse.” Congress has not declared war since 1942 (against German allies Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania), many wars ago. Congress has, however, passed authorizations for uses of military force.

    Citing decisions of self-restraint by presidents Washington (dealing with Native American tribes), John Adams (the Quasi-War with France) and Thomas Jefferson (the Barbary War), McConnell concludes that an originalist understanding of war powers is that “congressional authorization is required before the President may employ the armed forces in offensive military operations that constitute acts of war.”

    McConnell's book sounds good. Amazon link at your right.

  • Sounds like the setup for a bad SNL skit. But it's not. Ronald Bailey says NIMBYism is forcing AI into the Final Frontier: Google, SpaceX, and Blue Origin plan to put AI in space.

    The growth of the U.S. economy is being fueled by the hectic quest to build out massive data centers to run increasingly popular generative AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, and Gemini. The power-hungry AI data centers are driving up electricity costs in some regions and sparking local "not-in-my-backyard" opposition.

    Consequently, some Big Tech players are looking to locate their data centers in space. They think that low earth orbit could mitigate the problem of pesky, annoyed neighbors and offer perpetual sunshine to power constellations of AI satellites.

    In November, Google unveiled Project Suncatcher, "a research moonshot to scale machine learning compute in space." A team of Google researchers is exploring how to deploy and fly fleets of solar-powered AI satellites that would beam down data from orbit.

    I foresee cooling problems. But I assume the big brains have figured that out already.

Recently on the book blog:


Last Modified 2025-12-13 4:30 AM EST

The Man with the Golden Gun

(paid link)

The penultimate entry on my "read/reread Ian Fleming's Bond books" project. (Yes, I go out of my way to use the word "penultimate" when I can.) This is Ian Fleming's final Bond novel, published posthumously; the last book is a combination of two novellas.

The critics were not particularly kind, even given the slack often given to dead authors. I can understand, it seemed padded to me. Especially the ending, which extended twenty pages past the ostensible climax.

The previous book, You Only Live Twice, ended with (spoilers ahead) an amnesiac Bond, thought dead by most of the world, about to head off to the Soviet Union to possibly recover his memory. Bad news: when this book opens, Bond's been KGB-brainwashed and turned into an assassin aimed at his old boss, M. That unpleasant situation is resolved by page 22 here. And, as a check to see if 007 is back to his old self, M gives him his assignment: track down the murderous gangster Scaramanga on Jamaica, mon, and terminate him with extreme prejudice.

Along the way, Bond discovers his deep affection for his old secretary, Mary Goodnight. He passes up a sure shot at Scaramanga because it just wouldn't be sporting. He infiltrates Scaramanga's organization, discovers Scaramanga's latest nefarious schecme, gets his cover blown, and becomes the target of Scaramanga's needlessly complex murder scheme.

So, many classic Bond elements are here, but it's kind of a slog. For completists only, I think.

"It's Not What You Know, It's …"

That skit (with Steve Martin, Kevin Nealon, Nora Dunn, Dana Carvey, and Victoria Jackson) was from season 13 of Saturday Night Live, airing October 17, 1987. A little over 38 years ago.

Something to keep in mind when you hear people complaining about how dumb kids are these days.

But if you watch to the end, you'll be able to complete the headline quote above.

Also of note:

  • And then he said that the beatings would continue until morale improves. Liz Wolfe's "Reason Roundup" dials up the sarcasm: Trump tells voters to buy less while his tariffs raise prices.

    Trump's affordability tour: "You know, you can give up certain products. You can give up pencils," said President Donald Trump at a speech in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania, that was supposed to help alleviate people's worries about affordability and help Republicans figure out salient messaging ahead of the midterms.

    What a fascinating tack to take.

    "You always need steel. You don't need 37 dolls for your daughter," he continued. "Two or three is nice, but you don't need 37 dolls. So, we're doing things right. We're running this country right well."

    "I can't say affordability is a hoax because I agree the prices were too high. So I can't go to call it a hoax because they'll misconstrue that," said Trump. "But they use the word affordability. And that's the only word they say. Affordability. And that's their only word. They say, 'Affordability.' And everyone says, 'Oh, that must mean Trump has high prices.' No. Our prices are coming down tremendously from the highest prices in the history of our country."

    Liz goes on to note that Trump A"displays approximately zero self-awareness and shares no admissions of guilt."

    But when was the last time any US President admitted guilt? According to Google's AI: Bill Clinton "who admitted to lying under oath about his affair with Monica Lewinsky during a deposition." (Although the AI does point out that Trump was convicted of 34 felonies connected to Stormy Daniels' hush money payments, he refused to admit guilt there either.)

  • Good news, I guess. James Freeman looks at recent polling from the Economist/YouGov: Socialism Still Not That Popular. (WSJ gifted link)

    When asked whether capitalism or socialism is the better economic system, 46% of registered voters say capitalism, 22% say socialism, and 32% say they’re not sure, according to the Economist/YouGov.

    After all the misery that socialism has caused over the last century, it’s amazing that it commands any popularity at all. On the other hand, given that socialist Zohran Mamdani is weeks away from taking office as mayor of the country’s largest city—the traditional world headquarters of capitalism—perhaps it’s nice to be reassured that the New York City electorate remains a weird outlier in the American political scene.

    This may also explain in part why Mr. Mamdani had a surprisingly friendly visit to the White House recently—one can only hope he’s begun to understand how bad his ideas are.

    It looks like 2026 is going to be an (um) interesting year. If, that is, you're interested by politicians and pundits trying to scare the crap out of you pointing out how awful the other side is.

    And worse, they will mostly be correct about that.

  • Speaking of trying to scare the crap out of people… Andrew C. McCarthy is not a fan of a recent neologism: ‘Narco-Terrorism’ Is a Legally Meaningless Term. (archive.today link)

    Andrew quotes a dizzying array of administration apologists using the term. Only problem being:

    For the umpty-umpth time, “narco-terrorism” is just political rhetoric. It has no standing as a legal term — no significance in the extensive bodies of federal law defining narcotics trafficking and terrorism. Transparently, the incantations of narco-terrorism by the president’s amen corner are intended to benumb the public into assuming that his administration’s designation of drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations provides a tenable legal basis for lethally striking vessels suspected of transporting narcotics. It doesn’t. On the other hand, as with the president’s alien enemies invocation, and his claims of “rebellion” as a predicate for deploying National Guard troops in American cities, there could be litigation over the extent to which the courts may review the executive branch’s determination that drug trafficking activity warrants a terrorism designation.

    Our law has processes for designating foreign terrorist organizations (FTOs) and global terrorists. There is no designation of narco-terrorists. That is unsurprising, since narcotics trafficking, while a serious crime, is not terrorist activity as that term is extensively and exactingly defined in federal law. (In a previous post, I’ve outlined the conduct covered by that definition, in Section 1182(a)(3)(B)(iii) of federal immigration law.)

    It's fair to say that anyone using the intelligence-insulting term is trying to bamboozle you.

  • A less legalistic analysis… is provided by Jonah Goldberg, who points out the facts on the ground: Cocaine Is Not Mustard Gas. (archive.today link)

    In my life I’ve seen many kinds of whores, figuratively speaking: media whores, attention whores, power whores, and so on. I even know, thanks to some poor decisions in my youth, that one can be a coke whore. But as for mustard gas whores, I declare I’ve never encountered one.

    I bring this up because a line of argument on social media caught my attention recently. “Imagine Venezuela was releasing Mustard Gas in cities across the United States and had killed about half a million people in the last 10 years who breathed it in,” writes one X user. “Would ANYONE be against stopping boats bringing Mustard Gas into the US? Now do drug boats.”

    There are more examples of this from some more prominent folks, including a tendentious challenge from MAGA-aligned lawyer Kurt Schlichter, who asks “If you agree that we can destroy boats carrying barrels of mustard gas headed to our country, can you tell me the difference between the drugs and the mustard gas?” Schlichter adds: “I submit that the only meaningful difference is that drugs have killed nearly 100,000 Americans in the last year, and mustard gas has killed zero Americans.”

    Read the whole thing, but if I may summarize: you would have to be a "MAGA-aligned lawyer" to make an analogy so stupid.

Something That Seems To Have Slipped Off My Impeachment Bingo Card

[Amazon Link]
(paid link)

Jeff Maurer suggests Democrats Should Make Trump Pay for Selling Pardons.

Why did Trump pardon Henry Cuellar, a Democratic congressman indicted for accepting $600,000 in bribes? A social media conspiracy theorist recently suggested that it was so that Cuellar would switch parties and give Republicans another seat. Here is the post from that social media conspiracy theorist:

It’s hard to deny the existence of a quid pro quo when Trump publicly complains that the other guy isn’t sticking to his end of the deal. There will never be an All The President’s Men-style political thriller about Trump because Trump often just blurts out his misdeeds publicly, often on video or in writing. The 2020s All the President’s Men reboot doesn’t have Robert Redford and Dustin Hoffman in a paper chase at the Library of Congress — it has Chris Pine and Rami Malek looking at their phones and going “Huh,” before writing an article called Five ‘White Lotus’ Moments That Only a 90s Kid Will Get, because nobody cares about the president being a crook.

Cuellar was far from Trump’s only strange pardon. He pardoned crypto magnate Changpeng Zhao after Zhao put $2 billion towards enriching the Trump family in a deal so fishy that a source familiar with the deal called it “nuts”. Trump has undercut his “murderous on drugs” stance by pardoning the former president of Honduras and drug kingpins in Chicago and Baltimore. He pardoned the January 6 rioters — including the ones who did a lot more than put their feet on Nancy Pelosi’s desk — and pardoned Rudy Giuliani, giving Giuliani a new lease on probably 2-3 weeks of life. Trump caught everyone off-guard by commuting the sentence of George Santos, whom he called “something of a rogue”, which is an unbelievable description — calling Santos “something of a rogue” is like calling Vladimir Putin “a wee bit cantankerous,” or Buffalo Bill from The Silence of the Lambs “a strong advocate for skin hydration.”

A long excerpt, but the key phrase seems to be "nobody cares about the president being a crook."

If you care, though, Google is your friend; check out the back stories on Cuellar, Zhao, Santos, and the rest.

For fun, you might also want to check out the CNN segment that asks the musical question: What if the accused pipe bomber claims he’s already been pardoned?

Also of note:

  • Not just a crook, but a murderous one. Jacob Sullum claims Trump’s word games can’t disguise his murderous anti-drug strategy. (You would hope not, anyway.)

    I have a riddle for you. If we call a drug smuggler a combatant, how many combatants died when SEAL Team 6 killed 11 men on a cocaine boat near Venezuela on September 2?

    Zero, because calling a drug smuggler a combatant does not make him a combatant. That reality goes to the heart of the morally and legally bankrupt justification for President Donald Trump's bloodthirsty anti-drug campaign in the Caribbean and the eastern Pacific, which began on September 2 and so far has killed 87 people in 22 attacks.

    Jacob goes on to point out a simple truth: "Americans want cocaine." If they didn't, those drug boats would simply not exist.

  • And a good man is hard to find. Kevin D. Williamson muses on Good Things and Hard Things. It's long and somewhat (but wonderfully) rambling, but:

    The good news is that our main economic problems can be mitigated through fairly straightforward policy changes. The bad news is that nobody wants those policy changes to be made, because they would mean reduced government benefits, higher taxes on the middle class as well as on the affluent, less access to subsidized credit for higher education or buying houses, and a period of economic adjustment that probably would be at least as painful as the one Americans went through at the end of the Jimmy Carter years and the beginning of the first Ronald Reagan term, when a relatively responsible governing class acting under the leadership of Fed chairman Paul Volcker (who heroically blew smoke from his Antonio y Cleopatra Grenadiers and the occasional Partagas at the elected rabble throughout congressional testimony) screwed its collective political courage to the sticking place and did the needful thing.

    As a matter of pure political calculation, it is worth keeping in mind (should anyone in Washington feel the unaccustomed stirring of political courage) that while Americans in the 1980s sure as heck did not enjoy the process of fixing the inflation problem they really, really enjoyed having fixed it, and President Reagan went from being a basement-dwelling Gallup poll bum in 1982 to winning a 49-state landslide (recount Minnesota!) in 1984, largely on the strength of economic recovery: Real GDP growth topped 7 percent going into the 1984 election season. Average real GDP growth in the Reagan years was more than half-again as much as in the first Trump term or in Obama’s eight years, and more than under Joe Biden, when the economic figures were boosted by the post-COVID recovery.

    With respect to KDW's aside about Minnesota: It was the only state Mondale won in 1984, and that was by the thinnest of margins: 0.18 percentage points, or 3,761 votes out of over 2 million cast.

My CongressCritter Irritates Me, Again

That Critter, Chris Pappas, is running for the US Senate. And my best guess is that his campaign advisors are telling him he has to pose as a "fighting fighter who fights" and stir up populist resentment. So we get:

I could quibble: that "2,900" number cited by "More Perfect Union" is a worldwide figure. A recent WSJ article breaks it down more accurately: "America Has 1,135 Billionaires. Here’s What We Know About Them." (WSJ gifted link)

Fun fact: that article puts the total net worth of American billionaires at "about $5.7 trillion."

Further fun fact: Uncle Stupid spent $7.01 trillion in FY2025.

So: Even if Chris managed to expropriate US billionaires' entire net worth, it wouldn't even fund federal government for a single year. And after that, it would be gone.

And of course, that's fantasy economics. Any effort to "legally" grab that wealth would quickly destroy that wealth. For example, Warren Buffett owns about $149 billion worth of Berkshire Hathaway stock. If he had to dump that in order to pay his Pappas-decreed tax bill, what would that do to the share price? And what would it do to the company itself?

Multiply that by every one of those billionaires, selling off stock, real estate, artworks, … Imagine how that might affect your IRA, your 401(k), your home value, …

But I mainly object to Pappas's vague implication to the know-nothings that he's trying to get to vote for him next year: You are poor because they are rich. That's actually a dangerous message to send to some people, as we've seen of late.

Also of note:

  • He's got 'em on the list / And they'll none of 'em be missed. Andrew C. McCarthy passes along the latest Report: Pete Hegseth Gave Order to Kill Boat Operators Because They Were on a Target List. (NR gifted link)

    Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth ordered the Navy commander of the September 2 missile strikes against a suspected drug boat to kill everyone on board because all eleven of them were on a list of approved military targets, NBC News has reported.

    The report is based on three anonymous sources — “two U.S. officials” and “one person familiar with the congressional briefings” that were provided last week by the commander, Admiral Frank M. Bradley. If the report is accurate, it lends more credence to the original (and much criticized) Washington Post report, which asserted — also according to anonymous sources — that the gist of Hegseth’s order was “to kill everybody” on board.

    Hey, it only took them a couple weeks to come up with this. Imagine Secretary-of-War Pete slapping his forehead over the weekend, shouting: "Oh, right, I forgot! The list! They were on the list!"

    Andrew notes there is (indeed) nothing new about kill-em-all orders over the past few administrations. But there's a "but":

    But here is the difference: The al-Qaeda-related drone strikes by Obama, as well as by Presidents George W. Bush, Trump, and Biden, were all pursuant to the post-9/11 congressional authorization of the use of military force (AUMF), which went into effect with overwhelming bipartisan approval a week after al-Qaeda killed nearly 3,000 Americans in our homeland, destroying the World Trade Center and striking the Pentagon. That is why there was not more scandal attached to the use of lethal force away from the battlefield — or, as I outlined in the piece on Obama’s drone strikes, to the killing of hundreds of civilians and to the 2011 drone strike that killed Anwar al-Awlaki (a dual American and Yemeni citizen) along with several of his companions in Yemen.

    I think it's OK to fill in the "committed war crimes" spot on your impeachment bingo card.

  • Probably not an impeachable offense. But, as Eric Boehm relates, Trump's Tariffs Were Supposed To Cut the Trade Deficit and Boost U.S. Manufacturing. They're Not Working.

    How should we assess whether President Donald Trump's tariffs have been effective?

    It's an important question—yet frustratingly difficult to answer. Trump has outlined overlapping, confusing, and sometimes competing goals for the tariffs.

    He's celebrated them as a source of government revenue, for example, but also claimed they are meant as a negotiating tactic. They can't be both. Tariffs used for negotiation are meant to be removed (once negotiations are complete), rendering them useless for long-term revenue. For Trump, tariffs are a solution to every problem, and the trade war is more about the vibes than the economics.

    But, as Eric shows, to the extent administration spokesmodels did provide goals for the tariffs to accomplish, they have failed.

  • Not so fast, homeowners. James Freeman puts an asterisk on his headline: California Allowed Someone to Rebuild a Home* (WSJ gifted link). Quoting a news report about 915 Kagawa Street:

    It is the first rebuilt home in the Palisades to receive a certificate of occupancy, according to the mayor’s office, since the deadly fire there ravaged the area nearly a year ago while destroying 6,837 structures.

    I've provided the Google Maps link; the "street view" (from September) shows the house under construction. With no next door neighbors. And no next doors, for that matter.

    But why the asterisk? Nobody's actually moving into the house. James reports it's owned by a developer who plans to use it as a show house.

    James goes on to describe further dysfunction as only California government can provide:

    Nearly a decade ago, Los Angeles County voters overwhelmingly approved Measure M, a half-cent sales tax to fund projects focused on public transportation, street and sidewalk repair, and traffic reduction. The idealistic vote gave park-starved and transit-hungry Angelenos a lot to look forward to, including a $365 million plan for an 8-mile bike path along the Los Angeles River, which would close a crucial gap between existing paths lining LA’s concrete channelized waterway. The expected opening date: 2025.

    But, as the year nears a close, the bike path still isn’t open. In fact, construction hasn’t even started, and the environmental review process is still in the early stages. In the meantime, rising construction costs and other factors have increased the total project cost to approximately $1 billion.

    Bottom line: "One can ask how it’s even possible to spend $1 billion on a bike path, but remember it’s still not clear they’re going to get their bike path."

  • Asked and answered. Allysia Finley in the WSJ: Why Is Autism Exploding? Welfare Fraud Is One Reason. (WSJ gifted link)

    Diagnosis rates of autism among children have more than tripled over the past 15 years. One reason, which Minnesota’s welfare scandal lays bare with shocking details, is Medicaid fraud and abuse.

    Medicaid pays healthcare providers big bucks to diagnose and treat children with autism—sometimes tens of thousands of dollars a month for a single child. Yet states rarely verify that kids who are diagnosed actually meet the medical criteria for the disorder or that they get appropriate treatment from qualified specialists.

    The result: Children covered by Medicaid or the government-run Children’s Health Insurance Program are 2.5 times as likely as those with private coverage to be diagnosed with autism. Many lower-income kids are labeled autistic merely because they have behavioral or developmental problems.

    Allysia's explanation is a lot more credible than RFKJr's "It wuz the vaccines" theory.

Recently on the book blog:

Spook Street

(paid link)

Checked out from the Portsmouth (NH) Public Library, I was expecting a leisurely read over 14 days or so. Instead, I gobbled it up in six days. Not exactly "couldn't put it down", but as close as I come these days.

It is the basis for the fourth season of AppleTV's Slow Horses, which I watched earlier this year. It starts off with a (literal) bang as [page 4 spoiler] an apparent terrorist explodes himself, killing dozens of shoppers at a London mall. And in a seemingly unrelated plot thread, one of the Slow Horses, River Cartwright, is concerned about his grandfather's worsening dementia. Which quickly turns into unexpected carnage at Grandpa's house.

There's the usual tension between Jackson Lamb's stable of misfit spies at Slough House and the more "respectable" Secret Service bureaucracy across town at "the Park". Those politics can be nearly as dangerous to our heroes as the plots hatched by evildoers.

As usual, Lamb utters his usual devastatingly funny commentary on the dysfunction and misadventures going on around him. And manages, once again, to stay (mostly) a couple steps ahead of his antagonists, internal and external.

Perhaps the Best Paragraph of the Year

[Amazon Link]
(paid link)

From the WSJ in a recent editorial: The Great Entitlement State Grift. (WSJ gifted link)

Democrats won’t acknowledge fraud because they want more Americans on the dole. Welfare is central to their political business model. Republicans who make this scandal about immigration are missing the point—and missing an opportunity to educate Americans about the entitlement state grift.

That political ecology is also apparent in Democrats' demands to extend those hallowed Obamacare "tax credits", no questions asked.

A straight-news report from Politico has a predictable "Republicans pounce" headline: Obamacare fraud report has Republicans crying foul. But the plain facts are pretty damning:

A federal watchdog dropped what a top House Republican called “a bombshell” Wednesday, revealing how easy it is for fraudsters to extract Obamacare payments by setting up health insurance accounts for people who do not exist.

The Government Accountability Office, the nonpartisan investigative arm of Congress, said it had set up 24 fake accounts during the 2024 and 2025 plan years and that 22 had slipped through. The fake accounts in 2025 cost the government more than $10,000 per month in subsidies.

Republicans have long complained that a Democratic Congress’ move in 2021 to increase subsidies for health insurance bought on the Obamacare marketplace, and to make plans free for many low-income people, had allowed fraud to run rampant. Now they say the GAO report reaffirms their opposition to extending the enhanced subsidies expiring at the end of the month that have thrown Capitol Hill into turmoil.

Exercise for the reader: if you object to the WSJ's allegation that "Democrats won't acknowledge fraud"… please try to find a Democrat acknowledging the GAO report.

Also of note:

  • I'm not an Objectivist, but… Robby Soave finds some prescience within it: Ayn Rand denounced FCC censorship 60 years ago.

    In 1962, Rand penned a prophetic warning about the public interest standard, which then–FCC Chair Newton N. Minow was citing to justify pressuring television companies to create more educational programming. Minow famously railed against a supposedly "vast wasteland" of shoddy television shows, and he claimed that the FCC's charter empowered him to push for editorial changes to the medium that would align with his view of the public interest.

    "You must provide a wider range of choices, more diversity, more alternatives," said Minow in his well-remembered 1961 speech. "It is not enough to cater to the nation's whims; you must also serve the nation's needs."

    Minow repeatedly claimed that he was not in favor of government censorship and was not trying to tell broadcasters what they could and could not say. Rather, he charged them to make nebulous and ill-defined improvements to the product that he believed would be better appreciated by the American public—i.e., the public interest.

    In her March 1962 essay "Have Gun, Will Nudge," Rand argued that this was censorship by another name. "It is true, as Mr. Minow assures us, that he does not propose to establish censorship; what he proposes is much worse," she wrote. Unlike explicit bans on speech, Rand warned, the modern method of censorship "neither forbids nor permits anything; it never defines or specifies; it merely delivers men's lives, fortunes, careers, ambitions into the arbitrary power of a bureaucrat who can reward or punish at whim."

    I was only 11 years old in 1962, and had no blog back then anyway, so I was unaware of Ayn's abolishment advocacy. But in 2007, when this blog not quite two years old, I linked approvingly to Jack Shafer's Slate article which advocated killing the FCC. It's an idea whose time has come is long past.

  • Clear eyes at the Boston Globe. They belong to Jeff Jacoby, who informs his readers The 'two-state solution' is an article of faith, not a path to peace.

    AFTER Pope Leo XIV met with Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan last month, he reiterated what has become one of the most familiar refrains in international diplomacy: The "only solution" to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, he told reporters, is the creation of a Palestinian state alongside Israel.

    The pope has said as much before, as have other popes before him and an endless array of presidents, secretaries of state, prime ministers, foreign ministries, UN officials, international organizations, think tanks, academic luminaries, and prominent journalists.

    But political doctrines, unlike articles of faith, are supposed to be judged by how they work in the real world. And the doctrine of the "two-state solution" has been tested repeatedly for nearly a century — and it has failed every time.

    Jeff goes through the history and its legacy of continued, deadly, pointlessness.

Recently on the book blog:

Ulysses

(paid link)

Caveat Lector: most of this book report will be about me, not the book.

The "Final Jeopardy!" category on October 31, 2025 was "Famous Trials". And the clue was:

A lawyer in a 1933 trial called this novel "tedious and labyrinthine and bewildering"--& he was arguing on its behalf

None of the actual contestants gave the correct response. (Their guesses: Lolita; The Wizard of Oz; Catch-22.) But—hah!—at that point in my life I was about a week into "reading" Ulysses. And I shouted out my answer immediately. Impressing nobody except my cat.

This was my second attempt at climbing Mount Ulysses. My first was back in college. Professor Jenijoy La Belle (a real person, and that was her actual name) assigned it. And it was as "tedious and labyrinthine and bewildering" back in 1971 as it was in 2025. I remembered nothing about it except (1) the opening few words ("Stately, plump Buck Mulligan") and (2) Leopold Bloom's love of kidneys and their "fine tang of faintly scented urine." [Beginning of Episode 4.]

I do not know how I passed that course.

The reason I tried Ulysses again: back in 2021, it appeared on the New York Times shortlist of candidates for "the best book of the past 125 years." I started a reading project to read the titles I hadn't already read. And the final one on my project list was Ulysses, since I didn't consider to have actually "read" it back then.

I had a small notion that I would email Professor La Belle when I finished the book, thank her for her grading mercy, and report that I finally got more out of the book, fifty years later.

Alas, she passed away earlier this year. And (honestly) I am pretty sure I got nothing more out of the book this time around than I did back then. Again and again, I found myself in "look at every page" mode.

The "Gabler Edition" I used runs to 644 pages of text, which I factored into 46 days of 14 pages each. I assumed (incorrectly) that I could choke down and digest 14 pages easily enough. I cheated on the final Episode though: Molly Bloom's famous stream-of-dirty-consciousness punctuation-free soliloquy; I cued up Caraid O’Brien's audio rendition on YouTube (Part One; Part Two) and followed along in the book.

That didn't help much.

I think I could have had a more successful read by seeking out the various interpreters and annotators of Joyce's work, reading those concurrently with the text.

I could not think of a good enough reason to do that, however.

I acknowledge the praise people have heaped on the book. But Goodreads encourages me to rate according to my reaction, not pretend that I'm scoring on some objective measures of quality. So, one star.


Last Modified 2025-12-13 1:09 PM EST

"Brain and Brain! What is Brain?"

Today's headline is a quote from the widely-reviled "Spock's Brain" episode of good old original Star Trek (Relevant nine-second excerpt here.) And my further inspiration is Dave Barry's recent substacked essay: My Brain.

A recent embarrassing incident has led me to believe my brain is full. It was bound to happen. My brain has been storing things since the Truman administration, hanging on to information that it apparently believes I will need to know at some future point, such as the theme song for the 1955-1960 TV series Robin Hood, which goes (I quote from memory):

Robin Hood, Robin Hood, riding through the glen!
Robin Hood, Robin Hood, with his band of men!
Feared by the bad! Loved by the good!
Robin Hood! Robin Hood! Robin Hood!

Dave's brain is accurate, as you can verify here.

He goes on to justify his claim of full-brain syndrome. It's a fine, funny article, and I recommend it to you. Also, subscribing, because Dave deserves your support. Also check out Monty Python's Dennis Moore sketch, if you need further chuckles.

But Dave got me thinking (with my brain). I'm not quite as old, but I'm always alert to signs of brain failure. Which happen far too often these days. ("Why did I walk into this room?")

But the news from my self-reflection is more often good than bad. I do 13 crossword puzzles a week—seven from the New York Times, six from the Wall Street Journal—usually without Google-cheating. I also hit the NYT's daily Wordle and Connection puzzles. And, not to boast, but I've been on a hot streak working out the WSJ's Friday "Crossword Contest" meta-puzzle.

And of course, Jeopardy!. I'm not at contestant-level, if I ever was, but I still can cough up correct responses often enough, shouting them out … to my cat, who has the good manners to ignore me.

So I'm happy about that, but I'm really impressed with something I (and probably you) take for granted too often: my brain's ability to easily dredge up factoids that I haven't thought about in years, or even decades. And to do that within a fraction of a second! (Today's NYT 36-Across clue: "Emmy-winning actor Ray"; ah, that's "LIOTTA"! Spelled correctly, too!)

How does that work? And, even more navel-gazingly: why does it work? As a result, allegedly, of a few billion years of evolution, what is the species-survival value of me remembering Ray's last name, how it's spelled, and (for that matter) most of the plot of GoodFellas?

Which brings me to one more self-reporting anecdote, also movie-related. I watched the 1964 Beatles movie A Hard Day's Night the other evening. I saw it back then, over sixty years ago, but not since. Cute in spots, but (to be honest) doesn't hold up that well.

And I found myself speaking this line, uttered in the movie by George Harrison, about a second before he does:

He's right, you know.

Certainly not in anyone's list of "greatest movie quotes". And yet, it just popped out. How did you do that, brain? And why?


Last Modified 2025-12-08 8:04 AM EST

I Really Think So

Andrew Heaton tells us: More text here: What America can learn from Japanese housing.

Also of note:

  • Tale as old as time. Noah Smith says They need to make you hate some group. "They" being…

    In the 2010s, a bunch of right-wing types suddenly became big fans of Martin Luther King Jr.’s views on race. If you saw someone on Twitter quote MLK’s nostrum that people should “not be judged by the color of their skin but by the content of their character”, it was almost certainly someone on the right — quite a change from the type of person who probably would have cited King’s words half a century earlier. This is from an Associated Press story back in 2013:

    King’s quote has become a staple of conservative belief that “judged by the color of their skin” includes things such as unique appeals to certain voter groups, reserving government contracts for Hispanic-owned businesses, seeking more non-white corporate executives, or admitting black students to college with lower test scores.

    Many progressives railed against the idea of a colorblind society, arguing that statistical disparities between racial groups — income gaps, wealth gaps, incarceration gaps, and so on — couldn’t be remedied without writing race into official policy and becoming much more race-conscious in our daily lives.

    In the policy space, this idea manifested as DEI, which implemented racially discriminatory hiring policies across a broad swath of American business, government, academia, and nonprofits. In the media space, this manifested as a torrent of op-eds collectively criticizing white people as a group — “White men must be stopped: The very future of mankind depends on it”, “It’s Time for White People to Understand Their Whiteness”, “What is Wrong With America is Us White People”, and so on. Reputable institutions brought in speakers who made claims like “Whites are psychopaths,” and so on. Making nasty jokes about white people carried few if any professional consequences.

    In that kind of environment, it’s understandable that lots of people on the right would turn to individualist principles like the ones espoused by MLK in his famous speech. Asking to be judged by the content of your character is a reasonable defense against people who are trying to judge you based on your membership in a racial group.

    Fast-forward a few years, however, and the shoe is on the other foot.[…]

    Noah notes that Donald Trump and Steven Miller are enthusiastically back in the business of judging people, not by the content of their character, but by their color/ethnicity/religion/country of origin/etc.

    I think Noah's misguided in thinking this is something new. Or that the lefties have repented their demagoguery. It's just so cheap and easy to do, when investigating "content of their character" one-by-one is such hard work!

  • Well, it should do that, then. George Will notes a case flying under the radar: The Supreme Court can strike another blow against political cynicism. (WaPo gifted link)

    Some of the damage done by “campaign finance reforms” has been reversed. And Tuesday, the Supreme Court will hear arguments in a case that likely will continue the court’s dismantling of measures the political class has enacted to control political speech about itself.

    This case can extinguish an absurdity: a campaign regulation supposedly intended to prevent parties from corrupting their own candidates. The multiplication of, and subsequent unraveling of, reformers’ laws to ration political speech is a decades-long lesson about cynicism in the guise of idealism.

    Here is a simplified history of the reformers’ priorities: beginning in the 1970s, to empower government to regulate “hard” money — that given to particular candidates. Then to limit “soft” money given to parties for organizing and advocacy. Next, to regulate “express advocacy” — speech by independent groups advocating the election or defeat of an identifiable candidate. Inevitably, to solve the “problem” of spending on issue advocacy by such groups, limiting this remnant of civic discourse unregulated by government. Reformers nibbled away at the First Amendment, an artichoke devoured leaf by leaf.

    I guess we can expect the Usual Suspects to wail about "money in politics". But money just sits there; their real hatred is aimed at the political speech that money allows to make it to listeners.

  • We hardly knew ye. David Harsanyi says RIP: War Powers Are Dead.

    Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine promises he'll refile a war powers resolution in the Senate demanding President Donald Trump ask for congressional approval before launching any military strikes against Venezuela.

    A similar bill failed by a 49-51 vote in the Senate last month.

    Why does the bill specify "Trump" and "Venezuela"? For the same reason that a similar bill in June specified "Trump" and "Iran." Democrats aren't serious about constitutional war powers. They're grandstanding.

    David notes that recent Presidents, both blue and red, have pretty much done what they wanted war-wise, without involving that pesky Article I of the Constitution.

  • Someone should keep score. Jeff Maurer notes, informally, that The So-Called “Experts” Have Been “Right” About “Several Crucial Things” Recently. (I think the reader is supposed to imagine Jeff making air quotes in his headline.)

    The brain-dead right and the brain-damaged left both love railing against experts. Negging expertise is a staple of the Trump administration, and leftists treat the entire field of mainstream economics as a vast, centuries-long capitalist plot. Experts, of course, are wrong about some things sometimes, which has led some people to conclude that the smart thing to do is to listen to whichever deluded rage goblin their social media algorithm shits into their feed.

    But — quietly — the experts are on a bit of a winning streak. Several recent major things have gone pretty much exactly how experts said they would. And I can’t wait for them to get credit for being right…how could they not get that credit? Experts said “If you do A, then B will happen,” and then thing A happened, followed by B, which strongly suggests that they knew what they were talking about. Probably any minute now, “mea culpas” will start rolling in from the drunk shut-ins, shameless clout chasers, and Russian chaos bots who questioned the experts in the first place.

    The first area where the experts deserve some credit is tariffs. Most economists responded to Trump’s tariffs with repulsion-bordering-on-nausea, which seems justified in hindsight: Manufacturing is down and prices are up, with the strongest effects happening in sectors most affected by tariffs. The only good news about Trump’s tariffs is that they’re: 1) Illegal, and 2) A facilitator of graft as much as an economic policy; if not for those factors, things would be worse.1 For a while, we were told that Trump’s tariff strategy was 4D chess, but if this is chess, then Trump's queen has been captured, his knight is stuck up his ass, and the board has caught on fire and is igniting several Picassos that happened to be sitting nearby.

    I'm no expert, but I thought the folks predicting tariff malfunctions were probably right.

    I don't think Jeff mentions this, from a few days ago: Nature Retracts Study Predicting Catastrophic Climate Toll

Maggie Got It Right

[Amazon Link]
(paid link)

And so does Don Boudreaux, who tells us What the Economics of Envy Can't Answer.

Objections to income inequality are commonplace. We hear these today from across the ideological spectrum, including, for example, from the far-left data-gatherer Thomas Piketty, the far-right provocateur Tucker Carlson, and Pope Leo XIV.

Nothing is easier – and, apparently, few things are as emotionally gratifying – as railing against “the rich.” The principal qualification for issuing, and exulting in, denouncements of income inequality is first-grade arithmetic: One billion dollars is a larger sum of money than is ten thousand dollars, and so subtracting some dollars from the former sum and adding these funds to the latter sum will make incomes more equal. And because income is what people spend to achieve their standard of living, such ‘redistribution’ would also result in people being made more equal. What could be more obvious?

I guess I'm not surprised by the Pope, but hasn't he heard of the Tenth Commandment?

Anyway: Don proposes a number of "probing questions" to ask folks whose go-to solution to every social woe is "tax the rich". Here's one:

• Do you disagree with Thomas Sowell when he writes that “when politicians say ‘spread the wealth,’ translate that as ‘concentrate the power,’ because that is the only way they can spread the wealth. And once they get the power concentrated, they can do anything else they want to, as people have discovered – often to their horror – in countries around the world.” Asked differently, if you worry that abuses of power are encouraged by concentrations of income, shouldn’t you worry even more that abuses of power are encouraged by concentrations of power?

Maybe not a question to pose at the holiday table, but you be you.

Also of note:

  • Could be a good title for a Bon Jovi song. Veronique de Rugy thinks the US is Living on Borrowed Credibility.

    New research by Zefeng Chen, Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Mindy Xiaolan on three centuries of fiscal history offers a sobering lesson for today’s United States.

    The Dutch Republic, eighteenth- and nineteenth-century Britain, and the modern United States all became dominant safe-asset suppliers in their eras. In each case, investors – both domestic and global – were willing to hold more of the hegemon’s debt than its future primary surpluses could justify. The bonds of a hegemon carry a convenience yield (a premium investors pay for safety and liquidity), making them overvalued relative to their fiscal backing. The hegemon can thus run persistent fiscal gaps without immediate consequences. In fact, the overvaluation itself temporarily functions as an extra source of revenue, meaning that unfunded spending might not generate inflation in the short run. For a time, markets behave as if the government has a larger stream of future surpluses than it actually does. Until it doesn’t.

    … and when it doesn't, the history says things get ugly very quickly.

  • I'll stop posting about the drug boat stuff someday. But today is not that day. Not if Jacob Sullum has anything to say about it. And he does: Boat strike commander says he had to kill 2 survivors because they were smuggling cocaine.

    If we call a cocaine smuggler an "unlawful combatant" in an "armed struggle" against the United States, the Trump administration says, it is OK to kill him, even if he is unarmed and poses no immediate threat. And according to Adm. Frank M. Bradley, who commanded the newly controversial September 2 operation that inaugurated President Donald Trump's deadly anti-drug campaign in the Caribbean and the eastern Pacific, it is still OK to kill that cocaine smuggler if he ends up in the water after a missile strike on his boat, clinging to the smoking wreckage, provided you determine that he is still "in the fight."

    Bradley, who answered lawmakers' questions about that attack during closed-door briefings on Thursday that also included Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Dan Caine, knew that the initial missile strike, which killed nine people, left two survivors. But because the survivors had radioed for help from their fellow drug traffickers, The New York Times reports, Bradley ordered a second missile strike, which blew apart both men. That second strike was deemed necessary, according to unnamed "U.S. officials" interviewed by the Times, to prevent recovery of any cocaine that might have remained after the first strike.

    On its face, the second strike was a war crime. "I can't imagine anyone, no matter what the circumstance, believing it is appropriate to kill people who are clinging to a boat in the water," former Air Force lawyer Michael Schmitt, a professor emeritus at the U.S. Naval War College, told the Associated Press. "That is clearly unlawful….You can only use lethal force in circumstances where there is an imminent threat."

  • But, hey, what about… Andrew C. McCarthy wonders Is Trump Following the Obama Drone Strike Model? (archive.today link)

    My friend Marc Thiessen makes some excellent points in his Washington Post column today (which I recommended to listeners of our podcast during my discussion with Rich Lowry this morning). He defends the Trump administration against war crime allegations related to the now infamous “double tap” strike that killed two alleged drug traffickers who were shipwrecked (because of the first missile strike) off the coast of Venezuela.

    Relying on David Shedd, formerly of the Defense Intelligence Agency, Marc observes that double taps are not unusual. In combat, initial strikes often do not eliminate the threat and additional strikes are necessary to destroy the targeted enemy asset. This is obviously why, as I noted on Tuesday, the Trump administration has tried to shift the focus of the second strike from the shipwrecked people (the focus of media coverage initially, to which the administration did not effectively respond) to the remnants of the ship and its cargo.

    Marc also points out that, in targeting cartels that it has designated as foreign terrorist organizations, the Trump administration is closely following the playbook of President Barack Obama […]

    Andrew notes one legalistic detail: Obama was operating under a Congressional "authorization of military force" (AUMF). Something that Trump lacks! And, for that matter, …

    You know how you know the cartels are not conducting terrorist activity? As we discussed on the podcast today, if the cartels had conducted terrorist mass-murder attacks against the United States, rather than shipping cocaine to the lucrative American market for that drug, we wouldn’t be talking about double taps and Trump’s lack of congressional authorization. If a terrorist ship was loaded with explosives and guns rather than bags of cocaine, everyone would agree that our armed forces would need to strike the target as many times as it took to destroy it. And Trump would already have congressional authorization because, as was the case after 9/11, lawmakers of both parties would be demanding to vote in favor of military force; they would enact an AUMF even if Trump didn’t ask for it.

    Which brings us to…

  • Time to simply declare defeat. At Cato, Jeffrey A. Singer calls it An Incoherent Encore in a Failed Drug War.

    With Secretary of War Pete Hegseth embroiled in controversy over the extrajudicial killings of alleged drug smugglers operating a small, short-range boat off the coast of Venezuela, it’s worth examining how this all began.

    President Trump has repeatedly claimed that “narcoterrorists” are on these boats, transporting large quantities of fentanyl and other illegal drugs into the US to poison Americans, and he wants them obliterated. He asserts that each boat destroyed by the Navy with missiles saves 25,000 lives. As of this writing, 22 boats have been sunk, which amounts to 550,000 lives saved since early September—more than five times the nation’s annual overdose toll.

    First, drug smugglers do not sneak into the US, abduct random Americans, and forcibly inject them with fentanyl. They sell products to willing customers. These are voluntary commercial transactions, not acts of terrorism. If Americans did not want to buy illicit substances, traffickers would not profit from smuggling them and would quickly stop.

    Well, at least it seems to have gotten the Epstein stuff off the front pages. I guess that really did turn out to be a nothingburger.

  • A lesson for all bloggers. Jeff Maurer is probably wishing he hadn't: I Have Hired A "Disabled" Columnist Who Will Probably Never Write a Column.

    I Might Be Wrong is pleased to announce a new addition to our staff: Cameron Este is our new columnist covering health and well-being. Cameron will join Ethan Coen, our Junior Assistant Film Critic, Jacob Fuzetti, an award-winning war correspondent who covers Hollywood gossip, and Paula Fox, who writes about tech issues and the naughty MILFs who will be joining her live on webcam to dine on her sopping undercarriage.

    Cameron’s credentials are impeccable: He recently graduated magna cum laude from Stanford with a double major in Journalism and Nutrition Science. Of course, I wish I had hired him after I had read Rose Horowitch’s Atlantic article about disability inflation at top universities. Horowitch’s eye-opening finding is that disability claims have skyrocketed at elite universities: The number of students claiming disability at the University of Chicago has tripled in eight years, and it’s quintupled at UC Berkeley in 15 years. Most of the “disabilities” involve lightly-scrutinized claims of sometimes-blithely-diagnosed conditions like ADHD, anxiety, and depression, and they generally require accommodations like receiving extra time on tests or being allowed to use otherwise-prohibited technology. Astoundingly, 38 percent of Stanford undergraduates this year are registered as having a disability.

    Immediately after being hired, Cameron informed me of the flotilla of maladies he possesses that require accommodation. He has ADHD, anxiety, dyslexia, autism, hypertension, a gluten allergy, shape blindness, and Stage 4 Restless Leg Syndrome. He has something called “Sarcastic Bowel Syndrome”, which is apparently when your digestive system responds to certain foods by flooding your brain with sassy put-downs that shatter your self-esteem. He has a wallet full of cards that say things like “I am having a seizure, please keep me away from sharp objects” and “I am experiencing echolocation hypersensitivity, please strangle any bats or dolphins that come near me”. I don’t know how he’s supposed to quickly find the right card in an emergency, especially since he apparently suffers from Sudden Onset Digital Paralysis, a.k.a. “finger narcolepsy”.

    I, for one, have a severe procrastination disability. You might get my Christmas cards before MLKJr's birthday, if I can manage it.

Try Taking Another Guess

Veronique de Rugy doesn't care for either end of the horseshoe: The American Experiment Isn't What's Failing.

Spend five minutes listening to the American Left's most theatrical tribunes — Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — and you'll probably hear tales of a country on the verge of collapse, crushed by a rigged system that can be fixed only through a radical redesign of government. Then spend five minutes with the New Right — including Vice President JD Vance, Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) and any number of nostalgists yearning to restore an idealized 1950 America — and you'll hear much the same.

The American experiment is failing, they say. The economy is broken. Our society is in decay. Only sweeping power exercised by government can save us. For two camps that claim to despise one another, their worldviews are actually quite aligned.

The populist poles of the Left and Right are now linked in what political scientists call the "horseshoe." As each gets further from the center, it bends closer toward its counterpart on the other side. Both distrust markets, both want to micromanage industry, both are protectionist, both romanticize manufacturing work and resent the disruptions that come from open global competition. Both, in other words, are hostile to the core tenets of the liberal economic order that made America prosperous.

Politicians on the horseshoe ends are awful. But to a certain extent, they're just responding to the sour and resentful moods of their spoiled-brat voters. (I can say that because I'm not running for office.)

Also of note:

  • Unlike a sinking drug boat, it's a moving target. Jim Geraghty has been paying attention to The Trump Team’s Convoluted, Conflicting Accounts of the Drug-Boat Sinking. After liberally quoting what Trump, Rubio, Hesgeth, et al. have been saying over the past few weeks…

    Depending upon which administration official you’re listening to or when, the boat was “headed to Trinidad or some other country in the Caribbean,” and it was also “an immediate threat to the United States.” It remained an “immediate threat” even after it turned around. The president said that Hegseth told him a second strike on survivors “didn’t happen.” Hegseth said he “watched that first strike live” and also said he “did not personally see survivors.” Hegseth is “going to be the one to make the call” and also simultaneously, “Admiral Bradley made the correct decision to ultimately sink the boat and eliminate the threat.” The target of the second strike was the cargo, or the target of the second strike were the survivors, to ensure they did not call anyone to pick them up and retrieve the cargo. Also, President Trump said he wouldn’t have wanted a second strike on survivors.

    And the entire narrative of a second strike is “completely false,” according to the Pentagon spokesman, except for the parts that were later corroborated.

    No doubt, there are plenty of Democrats and members of the media want to create as many headaches as possible for the Trump administration. But the administration creates problems for itself when it does not give a straight story, based upon verifiable facts, from day one. And unsurprisingly, members of Congress — both Democrats and Republicans — get hostile quickly when they feel like their requests for additional information are being ignored or rejected.

    I can't exactly blame people who pick and choose what they want to believe out of this morass of probable lies.

  • The "MRGA" hats are probably being made as I type. Jeff Jacoby looks at Putin's number one fanboy: Trump's Ukraine 'peace' plan makes Russia great again.

    RUSTEM UMEROV, the head of Ukraine's security council, did his best to put on a brave face. "US is hearing us," Kyiv's lead negotiator said to reporters in Florida, where Ukrainian and American officials held four hours of talks on Sunday. "US is supporting us. US is working beside us," he said, as if he were willing those words to be true.

    Alas, they aren't true. Under the Trump administration, the United States is not supporting Ukraine as it fights for its survival, and it is certainly not working beside those who have been valiantly defending their sovereignty against a ruthless aggressor.

    There has never been much question where President Trump's sympathies lie. From blaming Ukraine for having "started" the war to fawning endlessly over Russian dictator Vladimir Putin, from insulting President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine as an incompetent and an ingrate to using his bully pulpit to reinforce the Kremlin's talking points, Trump has left little doubt that he is drawn irresistibly to the American enemy who launched this war and indifferent to the pro-Western nation resisting it.

    But now the administration's betrayal of Ukraine has reached a shocking new extreme. The White House is pressing for a "peace" that would amount to Ukrainian surrender and a Russian victory — a Munich for our time.

    Jeff repeats the "old maxim": "It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but fatal to be its friend."

  • Thanks of a grateful nation. Bjørn Lomborg speculates in the WSJ: Climate Change Might Have Spared America From Hurricanes. (WSJ gifted link)

    The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season ended on Sunday, and not a single hurricane made landfall in the continental U.S. this year. This is the first such quiet year since 2015; an average of around two hurricanes strike the U.S. mainland annually. You’d think this would be cause for celebration—or at least curiosity about what role, if any, global warming played. Instead there has been resounding silence.

    We heard plenty about Hurricane Melissa, the monster storm that hit Jamaica in late October with 185-mile-an-hour winds and flooding, causing roughly 100 deaths across the Caribbean. Headlines screamed that climate change was to blame. Attribution studies quickly followed, concluding that human-induced warming made Melissa more likely and worse.

    Yes, the narrative must be promoted: Climate change can only make things worse, never better.

George Will isn't Mincing Words

[Amazon Link]
(paid link)

Calling it as he sees it: A sickening moral slum of an administration. (WaPo gifted link) After looking at the Venezuelan drug boat survivor-shooting and the handling of Putin's wishlist for Ukraine, he makes a more general point:

The administration’s floundering might reflect more than its characteristic incompetence. In a darkening world, systemic weaknesses of prosperous democracies are becoming clearer.

Harvard sociologist Daniel Bell’s 1976 book, “The Cultural Contradictions of Capitalism,” argued that capitalism’s success undermines capitalism’s moral and behavioral prerequisites. Affluence produces a culture of present-mindedness and laxity; this undermines thrift, industriousness, discipline and the deferral of gratification.

Today’s cultural contradictions of democracy are: Majorities vote themselves government benefits funded by deficits, which conscript the wealth of future generations who will inherit the national debt. Entitlements crowd out provisions for national security. And an anesthetizing dependency on government produces an inward-turning obliviousness to external dangers, and a flinching from hard truths.

I fear he's right. More on the drug boats below.

Also of note:

  • We have moved on to the ass-covering phase of the operation. Andrew C. McCarthy has been my go-to guy for honest coverage. Here's his update from last evening: Pete Hegseth Says He Ordered & Observed First Missile Strike, Not Second. (archive.today link) After quoting from Hesgeth's tweet:

    Andrew comments:

    I get it that Hegseth sees his job as pleasing the president, who revels in this style of tough-guy, take-no-prisoners, death-to-all-the-seditionists BS. If you’re going to play that game, however, and especially if you’re going to play it for the ostensible purpose of “defending” yourself from war crimes accusations, you can’t be too surprised if people suspect that you just might have given an order to kill everybody.

    And bigger picture: We are dealing with an activity — cocaine trafficking — that is not an act of war, is not terrorism, is not killing thousands of Americans (that’s fentanyl), and is traditionally handled in the United States by criminal prosecution under an extensive, decades-old set of laws. Yet, President Trump, Secretary Hegseth, and the administration have speciously claimed that cocaine shipments — many of which are not even destined for our country — are the functional equivalent of mass-murder attacks; that, they claim, authorizes them to invoke the laws of armed conflict so they can kill people rather than prosecute them.

    Under the circumstances, it is hardly unreasonable for people to conclude that the administration is not especially fastidious about who is and is not a legitimate target under the laws of war.

    The things the administration is not "fastidious" about seems to grow daily.

  • Closed, locked, key thrown away. John McCormack & Michael Warren bemoan The Closing of the Conservative Mind. (archive.today link)

    Last April, the Intercollegiate Studies Institute invited eight college students to what an ISI staffer described in an email as an “exclusive retreat and dinner with Tucker Carlson” in Florida.

    Founded nearly 75 years ago, ISI is a prominent conservative collegiate intellectual institution in the United States. ISI also runs the Collegiate Network, a collection of alternative conservative newspapers on college campuses across the country, and the eight student journalists had been selected by ISI to attend the retreat and dinner because their campus newspapers were top-performing publications. After a Journalism 101 session at the Art Ovation Hotel in Sarasota, the students filed into a shuttle for a 90-minute trip to Carlson’s home on Gasparilla Island, where Carlson dispensed career advice.

    “Thanks to @TuckerCarlson for joining three generations of @amconmag editors/executive directors for a dinner with campus journalists from @ISI’s @collegiatenet,” ISI President Johnny Burtka posted on Twitter alongside a photo of himself, Carlson, then-Collegiate Network Executive Director Dan McCarthy, and The American Conservative editor Curt Mills. “It was an unforgettable evening that our students will cherish for years to come.”

    One person left out of Burtka’s photo was Carlson’s special guest at the dinner that night: Alex Jones, who appeared on Carlson’s podcast that aired the next day, April 9.

    Back in my college days, I was sorta involved with ISI. A long time ago. Sad to see what it's become.

  • Sometimes only a Hayek quote will do. And Eric Boehm deploys one early: Trump's deals with Intel and others are a form of socialism.

    One danger of nationalism, Friedrich Hayek warned in 1960, was the "bridge" it provides "from conservatism to collectivism."

    "To think in terms of 'our' industry or resource," he wrote, "is only a short step away from demanding that these national assets be directed in the national interest."

    That's a short step that President Donald Trump has eagerly taken. In the first nine months of his second term in office, the president has overseen a giant government leap into the boardrooms of strategically important businesses.

    In June, Trump demanded (and the federal government received) a so-called golden share in U.S. Steel, which effectively gives the White House veto power over much of the company's future. Two months later, the Trump administration purchased a 10 percent equity stake in Intel, the once-dominant and recently struggling American chipmaker. Similar stakes in at least four other companies followed, including ones that produce nuclear power or mine metals such as lithium and copper that are necessary for building high-tech chips and advanced batteries.

    I must recycle my ChatGPT cartoon from back in August:

  • To be fair, most economic doom will be in the future. But Jeff Maurer looks at today's whining and wonders: What Causes Economic Doomerism? And I will steal his impressive graphic:

    Here are some charts that most people probably assume are hallucinated bullshit, like when you ask AI to design a house and it puts the toilet in the middle of the kitchen:

    These charts are real…but how can they be? We’re constantly told that we’re living in tough economic times — I hear that the middle class has been “hollowed out”, and that you have to perform sexual favors on your local Albertson’s manager just to buy a dozen eggs. Generation Z — the story goes — is beyond screwed; the only jobs for them will be OnlyFans modeling and gig work delivering bubble tea to robots. These beliefs are so widespread that in a recent conversation between Sam Harris and George Packer — in which they spoke intelligently on many topics — the notion that Gen Z is struggling economically went unchallenged. It was like hearing two physicists discuss the finer points of quantum field theory and then reveal that they think that thunder is caused by a giant farting dragon in the sky.

    Jeff has possible theories aplenty.

  • But some (relatively) good news The Fraser Institute has released its report on the Economic Freedom in North America, which analyzes and compares US and Mexican states, Canadian provinces. And…

    In the all-government index—which takes account of federal as well as state/provincial policies—the most economically free jurisdictions in North America are New Hampshire, South Dakota, and Idaho.

    The data Fraser used is from 2023, so I assume the demise of New Hampshire's Interest & Dividends Tax will keep us well in front of South Dakota and Idaho in the near term.

Recently on the book blog:

Things Don't Break On Their Own

(paid link)

I put this book on my get-at-library list thanks to its "Best Novel" Edgar Award nomination. I surprised myself by liking it quite a bit. Some of my usual warning signs are here: damaged female characters, rotten male characters, "flowery" writing full of home decor descriptions, multiple POVs, jumping around in time, … What can I say, it turned out to work well for me anyway.

The mystery, such as it is: one day young girl Laika vanishes on her way to school. Leaving her younger sister, Willa, to wonder what happened. Laika's disappearance turns into an obsession for Willa; long after the tabloids have moved on to different lurid crimes, Willa keeps trying to find her. And thinks she keep seeing her, only to be disappointed.

But decades later, at a dinner party thrown by Robyn, Willa's friend and past lover, a stranger is invited, and (yes) Willa thinks it could be… But is it?

Of Monsters and Mainframes

(paid link)

Another book for which I can't recall the reason I put on my get-at-library list. Doesn't matter much, I guess. I enjoyed it a lot.

If you plan on reading it, my suggestion would be to go in as cold as possible: don't read reviews, don't look at the cover blurbs, don't let your eyes wander down Amazon's book page. Just start reading.

It is (mostly) narrated by Demeter, an AI in charge of an interstellar spaceship, plying the route between Sol and Alpha Centauri. Her (I think I got the pronoun right) perspective is (literally) inhuman, but she has a strong sense of honor and duty. Which explains why she is more than a little aghast when she discovers that the ship's crew and passengers are all dead. (Don't worry, that is only a page-six spoiler.)

But you may recognize her name (I didn't), and get a small hint as to the identity of the culprit.

As the book progresses, there is much conflict, mostly gory. Unexpected characters show up, some antagonistic, some allies in the fight against murderous evil.

I Can See Her Point

[Amazon Link]
(paid link)

Katherine Mangu-Ward reveals something about the inner workings of the magazine she edits in her latest print-edition editorial: Friedrich Hayek's 'socialists of all parties' quote is apt today.

Reason has a rule against starting essays with quotes from Friedrich Hayek. After all, one could start nearly every essay in this magazine with a bon mot from the Austrian-born economist and classical liberal hero. But sometimes things get bad enough that only a Hayek quote will do.

I'll be pointing out "nearly every essay" as each one emerges from behind the paywall. And I may include a Hayek quote here and there.

But, for today, here's a reasonable article not from Reason, in which Daniel J. Smith explains Why Modern Socialists Dodge Definition.

In an era where “democratic socialism” has gained renewed traction among politicians, activists, and intellectuals, one might assume the term carries a clear, operational meaning. Yet, a closer examination reveals a concept shrouded in ambiguity, often serving as a rhetorical shield rather than a blueprint for policy.

Proponents often invoke it to promise equality and democracy without the baggage of historical socialist failures, but this vagueness undermines serious discourse. Precise definitions are essential for theoretical, empirical, and philosophical scrutiny. Without them, democratic socialism risks becoming little more than a feel-good label, evading accountability while potentially eroding the very freedoms it claims to uphold.

As Hayek would say: Bingo!

Also of note:

  • In the land of obfuscation, finger-pointing, and whataboutism… Andrew C. McCarthy notes there is a New Explanation: Hegseth Did Not Order That All Boat Operators Be Killed. (NR gifted link)

    (Caveat Lector: Andrew's article is (as I type) 24 hours old; by the time you read this, it might be wildly out of date.)

    In a post on Saturday evening, I contended that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s first “defense” of a second U.S. missile strike on September 2, which killed two shipwrecked survivors of an initial missile strike, was more like a guilty plea. With indignation, but without trying to refute any of the factual claims in a Washington Post report about the strikes, Secretary Hegseth asserted, “As we’ve said from the beginning, and in every statement, these highly effective strikes are specifically intended to be ‘lethal, kinetic strikes.’” But the laws of armed conflict prohibit lethal, kinetic strikes against combatants who’ve been rendered hors de combat (i.e., out of the fighting); hence, it is not a defense to say, “But it was our intention all along to kill them.”

    Not surprisingly, the White House figured out that this wasn’t going to fly, so we now have an actual defense. According to President Trump, Hegseth now says he didn’t order what the Washington Post’s unidentified sources say he ordered — to wit, that everyone on the vessel suspected of trafficking illegal drugs on the high seas was to be killed.

    I hope that’s true. Of course, if it is true that he didn’t give the order, how odd was it that Hegseth’s first two responsive posts over the weekend were exactly what you would expect from someone who did give such an order: first, the above unflinching declaration of intention to execute “lethal” strikes, and second, the cruder, “We have only just begun to kill narco-terrorists.”

    I hope that’s true. Of course, if it is true that he didn’t give the order, how odd was it that Hegseth’s first two responsive posts over the weekend were exactly what you would expect from someone who did give such an order: first, the above unflinching declaration of intention to execute “lethal” strikes, and second, the cruder, “We have only just begun to kill narco-terrorists.”

    Almost certainly there will be more to come. Sorry.

  • One of the few things I remember from Confirmation classes. The English word "love" is very, very, ambiguous. Translations of the New Testament map four different Greek words into one hunka hunka burnin' "love" in English. Including one I hope Noah Smith isn't using in his headline: I love AI. Why doesn't everyone?

    New technologies almost always create lots of problems and challenges for our society. The invention of farming caused local overpopulation. Industrial technology caused pollution. Nuclear technology enabled superweapons capable of destroying civilization. New media technologies arguably cause social unrest and turmoil whenever they’re introduced.

    And yet how many of these technologies can you honestly say you wish were never invented? Some people romanticize hunter-gatherers and medieval peasants, but I don’t see many of them rushing to go live those lifestyles. I myself buy into the argument that smartphone-enabled social media is largely responsible for a variety of modern social ills, but I’ve always maintained that eventually, our social institutions will evolve in ways that minimize the harms and enhance the benefits. In general, when we look at the past, we understand that technology has almost always made things better for humanity, especially over the long haul.

    There are always those who will proclaim "This time is different." Maybe. But that's not the way to bet, I'm pretty sure.

  • I've been wondering about this myself. Arnold Kling notes the funny way people think about one specific service: What's Different about Health Care?

    When it comes to health care policy, you can try to sound sophisticated by citing “asymmetric information” as an explanation for why government intervention is appropriate. But I think that those rationalizations are off base.

    The reason that we have government intervention in health care is that we have an instinct that making an individual pay for health care is immoral. It is taking advantage of the individual’s misfortune.

    When someone is desperately poor and needs to borrow money to keep from starving, charging interest is regarded as immoral. Back in the day, that is what made usury a sin and made Shylock a villain.

    When someone is suffering from illness, making them pay for treatment is analogous to usury. Still, we understand that health care providers deserve to get paid. So we turn payment for treatment into a collective problem, to be dealt with by insurance or, ultimately, by socialism (government).

    I think that the moral intuition that an individual suffering from a health problem should not have to pay for treatment is something that we need to re-think. In the 21st century, the array of medical services is so vast and so varied that it is no longer appropriate to take away the individual’s responsibility for paying. As an individual, you think you have “good” health insurance if it pays for eyeglasses and teeth cleaning and for every precautionary MRI. But for society as a whole, it is not good.

    Arnold goes on to mention the weirdness of the term "health insurance", which, in practice, works totally differently from other types of insurance.

  • A palate-cleanser? Not really. But Brian Philips The Olivia Nuzzi and RFK Jr. Affair Is Messier Than We Ever Could Have Imagined. It's pretty R-rated funny the whole way through.

    There’s no way around it. If you read this article, you are going to have to imagine Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the United States secretary of health and human services, having an absolutely eyeball-melting orgasm. You’re going to have to imagine a sweaty, leathery man in his early 70s, the scion of the celebrated Kennedy political dynasty, bellowing like a Spartan as his body yields to the sweet, sweet release. Knees buckling. Sinews straining. What does it sound like when RFK Jr. bellows? I’ll go out on a limb and say it’s gritty. His normal speaking voice is basically a garbage disposal. When the big one hits, it must be like tossing a fork in.

    I’m sorry for this, truly. I would protect you from these images if I could. But in the latest, grossest plot twist in the ongoing saga of RFK’s affair with the acclaimed political journalist Olivia Nuzzi, RFK appears to have written a poem to his lover about—and please remember that I hate my own life as much as you’re about to hate yours—his own ejaculation. He calls it “my harvest.” Lines from the poem were published Saturday on the Substack of Nuzzi’s ex Ryan Lizza, who is also a political journalist and who was engaged to Nuzzi at the time of the alleged affair. Lizza has launched a multipart Substack series chronicling Nuzzi’s infidelities, to counter what he claims are Nuzzi’s misrepresentations in her forthcoming memoir, which was recently excerpted in Vanity Fair, where Nuzzi currently works.

    It's sordid and also hilarious. Except you might choke back some laughter when you remember that Junior's current job requires sound, sober judgement.

Scarier Than Barney

I was gonna make a "filled with hot air" joke, but elementary Googling informs me that Macy's balloons are inflated via helium.

No clue about how Marx would have felt about being filled with a noble gas. One that makes you talk funny.

Also of note:

  • Apocalyptic Prophecy from the Book of Williamson. Specifically, Kevin D. He warns of The Four Schmucks of the Apocalypse. (archive.today link)

    The Trump administration is always good for a curveball: It put out a peace plan that was originally written in Russian when I was expecting one that was originally written in crayon.

    Talk about “the soft bigotry of low expectations”! You couldn’t see my expectations from the third sub-basement of Challenger Deep right about now.

    “The matter is delicate,” Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said of European engagement with the United States on the Ukraine matter, “because nobody wants to discourage the Americans and President Trump from ensuring that the United States remains on our side.”

    What kind of wild-eyed optimist thinks President Trump is on the Europeans’ side now? He sure as hell is not on the Ukrainians’ side.

    More to the point: What kind of wild-eyed optimist thinks President Trump is on the American side? The conspiracy-theory corner is chock-full of amusing little notions about why it is that Donald Trump so energetically and self-abasingly serves the interests of Vladimir Putin: sex tapes of a nature as to embarrass even such a man as Trump, who has appeared in no fewer than three pornographic films; dirt relating to his Slovenian-born wife’s dodgy family or to his sons’ personal and financial shenanigans; possibly some heavy off-the-books loans from state-controlled Russian banks or the Russian mob. All fun parlor-game stuff, but, as far as I can tell, all of the available hard evidence points toward my pet theory of the case, i.e. that Donald Trump is a punk and a coward who, like most weaklings of his kind, instinctively takes on the subordinate role in relationships with hard men such as Putin. I enjoyed The Manchurian Candidate, but, in a sense, it does not matter whether Donald Trump is some kind of a Russian asset under the influence of kompromat—he would not be doing anything different if he were.

    Russia has launched a war of aggression against a European democracy, and the president of the United States of America is on Moscow’s side: All pretense and political window-dressing to one side, that’s how it is. Trump means to give Putin what Putin wants. Fortunately for the cause of the Free World, Donald Trump does not run U.S. foreign policy. Unfortunately, some combination of Marco Rubio, J.D. Vance, Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner does—freedom is in the greasy paws of a quadrumvirate of self-serving grifters, phonies, cowards, and imbeciles.

    KDW sounds pessimistic, right? Am I detecting some pessimism there?

  • A question the great minds of science will debate for the next century. Becket Adams wonders How Did Katie Couric Become an Elder Stateswoman of Journalism? (archive.today link)

    You have to hand it to Katie Couric.

    Unlike disgraced former anchor Dan Rather, who was drummed out of the news business in 2006, she has never faced any serious professional consequences for her shoddy, dishonest brand of journalism.

    In fact, despite a thoroughly blemished record, she has managed, late in her career, to reinvent herself as a kind of elder stateswoman of the news media, explaining to her loyal following everything that’s wrong with modern journalism. Leading Democrats, journalists, and pundits are all too eager to do interviews on her podcast or Substack to talk politics and the culture wars.

    This is despite the long list of people Couric has mischaracterized, misreported on, and mistreated. Instead of pariah status, she receives expressions of tribute and respect, all while criticizing those she deems unworthy of the title she has wielded unworthily for more than four decades.

    Becket has the receipts, as the kids say. He is especially hard on Katie's creative editing of her interview with Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

  • No fair! Hors de Combat is in a foreign language! Jed Rubenfeld, legal correspondent at the Free Press contends Killing Narco Speedboat Survivors Is a War Crime. (archive.today link)

    On September 10, eight days after the first U.S. bombing of a “narco” speedboat in the Caribbean, The Intercept—a left-wing news site—reported that there were people on board who had survived the initial air strike, but were then killed in a “follow-up attack.” No details were offered, no such second strike was shown in the video of the bombing posted by President Trump, and the allegation seemed to vanish. But yesterday, The Washington Post made the very same accusation, this time filled in with explosive details.

    After the first bomb struck the boat, the Post reported, a drone video feed showed two survivors “clinging to the smoldering wreck” in the open sea. According to the Post, mission commander Admiral Frank Mitchell Bradley then ordered a second strike specifically to kill the two survivors.

    Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has called the Post story “fabricated, inflammatory, and derogatory,” reiterating that the speedboat attacks have been approved “by the best military and civilian lawyers.” But Hegseth did not specifically deny any of the particulars in the Post’s account.

    If the Post is right—and we don’t know yet whether it is—Bradley committed murder. No ifs, ands, or buts about it.

    This is turning otherwise reasonable conservatives into defenders of the indefensible. Sad!

  • Tyler Cowen piles on. Specifically, shooting the fish in the barrel: The Myth of the $140,000 Poverty Line. (archive.today link)

    When a flood of people start emailing me the same article, I know something is afoot. That is the case with Michael W. Green’s “The Valley of Death: Why $100,000 is the New Poverty,” which was recently adapted from his Substack and published in The Free Press. Green’s core argument is that participating in the basics of American life costs much more than it used to, and as a result, we should set a new poverty line: up from about $32,000 a year for a family of four with two kids, to $140,000 a year.

    Fortunately for us, this is all wrong. The underlying concepts are wrong, the details are wrong, and the use of evidence is misguided. There are genuine concerns about affordability in the United States, but the analysis in this article is not a good way to understand them.

    Green goes off the rails right away when he defines the poverty line by quoting a statement based on a 1965 research paper by Mollie Orshansky: “The U.S. poverty line is calculated as three times the cost of a minimum food diet in 1963, adjusted for inflation.” He uses this sentence as the foil for his own analysis, noting that rising costs of healthcare, housing, and other factors mean that food is a rapidly decreasing proportion of a household’s overall costs. Orshanksy’s formula, therefore, is outdated.

    The problem is that this mischaracterizes how the poverty line is calculated today.

    I am feeling sorry for Michael W. Green.

Recently on the book blog:
Recently on the movie blog:

The Origin of Politics

How Evolution and Ideology Shape the Fate of Nations

(paid link)

Nicholas Wade has had a long career as a science journalist, and in recent years has become a controversial science journalist. For details on the controversial stuff, I recommend his Grokipedia entry, which seems far more even-handed than Wikipedia's, which has an unrebutted anti-Wade bias.

I reported on one of his controversial works, A Troublesome Inheritance, back in 2014. In more recent years, he has written in favor of the lab-leak origin of Covid; my posts on that are here, here, here, and here.

This book looks at how humans have organized themselves into governing groups over their long existence; Wade feels (with much justification) that the role of our underlying genetic code has been given short shrift. To a certain extent this is ideology-driven: the notion that humans are born as "blank slates" and their cultural environment can mold them arbitrarily, shedding ancient ideas of sex roles, opening up a utopian vision of an egalitarian future.

Wade notes that blank-slatism has been thoroughly debunked. He details the experiment with kibbutzim in early Israel, where idealists set up communities based on collective ownership, sexual equality, child-rearing by the community instead of mom and dad, etc.; over the span of a relatively few years, this proved unstable, and the communities mostly reverted to more traditional ways.

Our original social organizations were tribal, similar in many ways to our chimp cousins, and they were a decent evolutionary "solution" to the problems of cooperation, defense, production, and cultural survival. They "worked" for many millennia, after all. And they still persist in some parts of the world. But cultural evolution has molded most of us into citizens of nation-states, a model that has more survival value in the modern world.

Wade argues that humanity is still constrained by the realities of our genetic heritage; ideologies that (for example) deny the fundamental differences between guys and gals are always going to wind up in disappointment, but not before causing a lot of misery along the way.

He also argues that the traditional bonds that hold nation-states together seem to be badly fraying today: common languages, religions, ethnicities. He points out increasing social stratification caused by assortive mating in our meritocracy.

So, Wade provides quite a bit to think about. Progressives aren't going to like his take on a number of contemporary issues. Even I am not convinced of the semi-determinism that his evolution/genetic insights seem to imply. Back in (say) 1750, a Wade-like essayist could have looked at the historic record of chattel slavery and concluded that it was destined to be with us forever as part of our genetic heritage. But it wasn't, thank goodness.

Nobody 2

[4 stars] [IMDB Link]

[Amazon Link]
(paid link)

This is (duh) a sequel to Nobody, which I watched and liked back in 2023. Bob Odenkirk stars again (spoiler for the first movie: he survives), and he's great. It is billed as a "dark comedy", where the darkness is provided with copious violence, bad language, and threats against the innocent. So, if you're OK with that…

The events of the previous movie have given Hutch (Bob) a promotion of sorts: he's now a professional assassin, working to pay off multi-millions in debt, thanks to his rash (but understandable) decision to burn up a large pile of mob cash. (It made sense at the time. You really should watch that first movie before this one.)

But it's a tiresome life, and Hutch has been neglecting his family. He demands a break for a family vacation, and chooses "Plummerville", a cheesy, decrepit town he remembers from his youth. It's got rides, a water park, an arcade, duck boats, … and (oh yeah) loads of corruption and organized crime; he wasn't aware of that last bit. But Hutch is a Jack Reacher-style character; trouble and (eventually apocalyptic) violence seem to find him wherever he goes.

I had to look over to IMDB to find the name of the actress playing the primary villain here. And said, "Oh. Wow."