If you are a NH GOPer, you might cheer yourself up a bit by checking out UNH's Granite State Poll released today. High points:
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Jeanne Shaheen's lead over John Sununu has shrunk from 12 points in
April to 4 points now. Sununu's favorable/unfavorable ratings
have improved, Shaheen's have worsened.
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Carol Shea-Porter's favorable/unfavorable ratings also continue to
worsen. Jeb Bradley outpolls Congresswoman Shea-Porter by 46%-40%.
The other GOP candidate, John Stephen, doesn't poll as well
against Shea-Porter, losing 42%-36%.
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But it ain't looking good for any Republican running against
Congressman Paul Hodes in NH's other district. Hodes continues
to outpoll Bob Clegg (44%-25%, although that's slightly better
than April's 51%-24% result). Similar results obtain in a
Hodes-vs-Jennifer Horn race.
Hodes' favorability ratings are decent and
improving.
The Granite State Poll's Monday release showed Obama with a nanotube-thin lead over McCain, 46%-43% in New Hampshire. (Unfortunately for McCain, that's a comedown from his 6-point lead in April. But we'll try to stay optimistic.)
You can check the links for margins-of-errors, etc. New Hampshire's leftward movement doesn't look to be that inexorable.
[Note: the UNH Survey Center's final poll picked Obama over Clinton in the NH Primary, 39%-30%. Clinton wound up winning 39%-36%. So: Don't take polls seriously. Don't take this article seriously. Sorry for wasting your time.]