PredictWise
has Hillary with an astonishing lock on the Presidency (91% probability,
up from 86% last week).
FiveThirtyEight
is slightly more dubious: 83.9-89.1%, depending on your choice of
methodology. At right: the Trump campaign.
He's doing pretty well in the phony poll, however:
Professor Boudreaux of Cafe Hayek pens
Another
Open Letter to Hillary Clinton, caused by her boobish agreement with
Donald Trump on prosecuting Chinese steelmakers. This is nothing new;
Boudreaux quotes a 112-year-old speech from Winston Churchill debunking
the trade know-nothingism of his time. Nothing much has changed.
I don’t for a moment expect Churchill’s words to cause you to rethink
your hostility to free trade; you crave power, not truth. But I do want
you to know that you and Mr. Trump are merely the latest drum majors in
a long, shameful parade of charlatans and scammers who absurdly promise
the masses that greater prosperity is to be had if only they’ll agree to
pay higher prices for the goods and services they consume.
At this point our best hope is that Hillary's merely a shameless
liar on this issue, that she really knows better.
Geraghty obseves that
partisan Democrats (containing a good chunk of Bernie Sanders
supporters) now find themselves having to "swallow their pride, put
aside their concerns and worries, and pretend [Hillary] is noble and
trustworthy." Despite daily revelations to the contrary.
Diehard Republicans probably have it worse, having to support a
lecherous
blowhard, a floater of delusional conspiracy theories, etc.
Of course everybody’s stressed. One of two bad options – a
man and a woman who do not reflect the values and sense of ethics of
most decent Americans — is all but certain to be president, and lots of
people feel the need to pretend that they want these bad options, lest
the worse one win. What’s more, people are realizing that they’re going
to have to validate one of these people by giving her or him
their vote.
Not me, Jim.
David Boaz is roughly on the same wavelength as Geraghty in his
diagnosis of
"Trump
Derangement Syndrome", a coinflip counterpart to the well-known Bush
Derangement Syndrome of years past.
What do we say about conservatives – people who believe, variously, in
limited government, free markets, Judeo-Christian values, and the
importance of character in public life – who have been forced to utter
absurdities in defense of Donald Trump? It’s one thing to say that
Hillary Clinton and her Supreme Court justices and her 4,000 bureaucrats
are on net worse than Trump and whatever menagerie he brings to the
White House. But when free-market conservatives find themselves
enthusiastically defending the most protectionist presidential candidate
since Pat Buchanan, or Christian conservatives are forced to say that
personal character isn’t really a big issue for them, I fear that
derangement has set in.
Examples follow. But the bottom line, friends, is: Politics corrupts
us. I'm reading a book that convincingly makes that point, should
have a brief description up in a few days.
(paid link)
Which reminds me: Jon Ronson is a journalist who keeps finding himself
in bizarre situations. One of those, years back, found him infiltrating
the infamous Bohemian Grove retreat, where megamoguls and famous
celebrities gather to engage in bizarre rituals. His unreliable ally
back then was Alex Jones, radio-show nutbar behind the
Infowars conspiracy site.
Today, of course, Jones is one of the drivers behind the Trump
candidacy. Ronson was able to reconnect with Jones, also meet the
nearly-as-wacky political consultant Roger Stone, and explore the
crazy sordidness that's actually influencing the Trump campaign.
(The recent talk about the election being "rigged" is pure Jones.)
Ronson has released a short e-book,
The Elephant in the Room,
telling the tale, and—whoa—it's free to Amazon
Prime users. Recommended; Ronson's clearly on the left, but that
doesn't obscure his powers of observation.
(If you use the link at right, I'll get a
small percentage of your $0.00! Thanks in advance!)
And there are a lot of things to dislike about PETA, but this is not one of
them:
Seriously, folks: no matter how you feel about PETA,
if you have the time and inclination to give one of
our furry friends a safe and loving home, I recommend it.
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