Whoa. Did not see that coming.
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I admit that nearly every prediction I made about this election
season was wrong, wrong, wrong. Sometimes spectacularly so. I'm not
ashamed, much. I never claimed to be a master prognosticator. But still.
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I'm not alone though. I've just finished up reading through the November
7 issue of National Review, and the back page article by Daniel
Foster begins:
Some of you won't read this column until after Hillary Clinton is elected 45th president of the United States. But I'm writing it before she is [Obviously — pas], and so it feels like I should offer some summation of these, the longest 83 years of my life, or perhaps a few weighty portents of things to come.
So how seriously or insightful should I take the rest of the column?
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Also with a large amount of egg-on-face this morning: the University
Near Here Survey Center, whose
last
New Hampshire polling
had:
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Hillary Clinton beating Donald Trump by 11 points (51%-40%). As I type
in the early 11/9 AM, the race is pretty much tied at 47% each, The
Donald slightly ahead.
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Maggie Hassan beating Kelly Ayotte for the US Senate
by 5 points (52%-47%). As I type, the
results are another squeaker, with both Kelly and Maggie at 48%, Kelly
slightly ahead.
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Colin Van Ostern beating Chris Sununu for NH Governor by 11 points
(55%-44%). Sununu has been declared the winner by (currently) 49.1% to
46.6%.
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Carol Shea-Porter beating Frank Guinta and Shawn O'Connor for US
Congress NH District 1, 44%-38%-18% respectively. Current results:
44.3%-42.8%-9.4%.
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Annie Kuster beating Jim Lawrence for US Congress NH District 2,
59%-40%. Current results: 49.5%-45.7%
I like those guys at the Survey Center just fine, but it's clear they should probably take a long hard look at their methodology.
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Hillary Clinton beating Donald Trump by 11 points (51%-40%). As I type
in the early 11/9 AM, the race is pretty much tied at 47% each, The
Donald slightly ahead.
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Even worse, although much funnier, from Sam Wang, Princeton
prognosticator:
'Sam Wang says "I'll eat a bug" if Trump exceeds 240 electoral votes.' - https://t.co/EVqQTYZIfb
— Christopher D. Long (@octonion) November 6, 2016Bon appetit, Prof Sam!
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Although I didn't vote for Trump, and didn't think he'd win, I found
myself
fantasizing in recent weeks
that it would be fun to watch lefty heads explode
if he did.
So far, it's not as much fun as I thought it would be. Schadenfreude is overrated as a pleasure.
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It appears I will have a couple more years of toothache
Carol Shea-Porter
representing me in Congress, as she did previously (2007-2011 and
2013-2015). Here's hoping she resumes writing her
insipid op-eds for local newspapers; they were a blast to make fun of.
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I'm slightly gratified by the Libertarian candidates' showing in most
local races; they
appear to have gotten more votes than
the vote difference between the major party candidates. Perhaps this will
cause the losers to reflect: Gee, if I'd only made a slight nod in
favor of free markets and individual liberty!
Well, I can dream.